Crude oil futures surged on Monday due to disruptions in Russian refining capacity caused by Ukrainian drone strikes and Moscow's decision to cut output to comply with OPEC+ targets. The West Texas Intermediate (WTI) contract for May settled at $81.95 a barrel, up $1.32, while the Brent contract for May settled at $86.57 a barrel, also up $1.32. Russia instructed...
USD/JPY: upside looks limited
2020-12-18 • Updated
What happened?
The USD has started the day on a positive footing and pushed USD/JPY upwards. Early in the morning the Bank of Japan held the last meeting this year and extended the Covid-19 relief program by the next 6 months. Elsewhere, Japan published core consumer prices, which were in line with market expectations, but still, they marked the largest drop since late 2010. As a result, the Japanese yen dipped and pushed USD/JPY upwards.
Technical tips
USD/JPY is trading in a downtrend, but today the pair has surged up. It is touching the 100-hour moving average and the upper line of the Bollinger Bands. That’s why we can assume it should pull back and start falling. It will meet the 50-hour moving average at 103.30 on its way down, which it’s unlikely to break by the first attempt. If it manages to cross it, it will plummet deeper to the key psychological mark of 103.00. Resistance levels are 103.75 and 104.00.
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Brent oil is currently on a bullish trend, facing resistance near $84 and supported by the 200-day EMA. Breaking above this level could lead to a climb towards $90. Short-term support is observed around $80, backed by the 50-day EMA. As summer approaches and travel increases, crude oil tends to benefit from seasonal patterns. Despite temporary setbacks, buying...
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