Oil: Russia-Ukraine Crisis Could Boost Oil Prices

Oil: Russia-Ukraine Crisis Could Boost Oil Prices

2024-03-27 • Updated

Crude oil futures surged on Monday due to disruptions in Russian refining capacity caused by Ukrainian drone strikes and Moscow's decision to cut output to comply with OPEC+ targets. The West Texas Intermediate (WTI) contract for May settled at $81.95 a barrel, up $1.32, while the Brent contract for May settled at $86.57 a barrel, also up $1.32. Russia instructed companies to reduce oil production to fulfill its OPEC+ commitments, with voluntary cuts totaling 2.2 million barrels per day. A Ukrainian drone attack caused a fire at the Kuibyshev oil refinery in Samara, knocking out a major refining unit. According to British intelligence, Ukrainian strikes against Russian energy infrastructure have disrupted at least 10% of Russia's refining capacity, potentially leading to time-consuming and costly repairs.

XTIUSD - D1 Timeframe

XTIUSDDaily-260324.png

XTIUSD has made an initial reaction off the pivot zone on the daily timeframe, and may slide even further down. This sentiment is based off of the QMR pattern that I have spotted on the 1-hour timeframe, and the 88% Fibonacci retracement level. The primary target here could very well be the trendline support as shown on the chart.

Analyst’s Expectations: 

Direction: Bearish

Target: $78.42

Invalidation: $83.53

XBRUSD - H1 Timeframe

 XBRUSDH1-260324.png

XBRUSD made a sharp reversal after hitting the pivot zone on the daily timeframe. Following this, price retested a trendline resistance after breaking below the previous lows, indicating the likely onset of a bearish trend. It is my belief that price would try to close below the most recent low, since failure to do so would imply a change in market sentiment. My final target, however, is the demand zone marked out towards the bottom of the chart.

Analyst’s Expectations: 

Direction: Bearish

Target: $83.36

Invalidation: $86.73

CONCLUSION

The trading of CFDs comes at a risk. Thus, to succeed, you have to manage risks properly. To avoid costly mistakes while you look to trade these opportunities, be sure to do your due diligence and manage your risk appropriately.

TRY TRADING NOW

You can access more of such trade ideas and prompt market updates on the telegram channel.

Similar

WTI and Brent React To a Key Pivot
WTI and Brent React To a Key Pivot

Brent oil is currently on a bullish trend, facing resistance near $84 and supported by the 200-day EMA. Breaking above this level could lead to a climb towards $90. Short-term support is observed around $80, backed by the 50-day EMA. As summer approaches and travel increases, crude oil tends to benefit from seasonal patterns. Despite temporary setbacks, buying...

Latest news

USD: Powell Speaks on Cutting Interest Rates
USD: Powell Speaks on Cutting Interest Rates

Jerome H. Powell, the Federal Reserve chair, stated that the central bank can afford to be patient in deciding when to cut interest rates, citing easing inflation and stable economic growth. Powell emphasized the Fed's independence from political influences, particularly relevant as the election season nears. The Fed had raised interest rates to 5.3 ...

WTT: Currency Pairs To Trade In April
WTT: Currency Pairs To Trade In April

Hello again my friends, it’s time for another episode of “What to Trade,” this time, for the month of April. As usual, I present to you some of my most anticipated trade ideas for the month of April, according to my technical analysis style. I therefore encourage you to do your due diligence, as always, and manage your risks appropriately.

Deposit with your local payment systems

Data collection notice

FBS maintains a record of your data to run this website. By pressing the “Accept” button, you agree to our Privacy policy.

Callback

A manager will call you shortly.

Change number

Your request is accepted.

A manager will call you shortly.

Next callback request for this phone number
will be available in

If you have an urgent issue please contact us via
Live chat

Internal error. Please try again later

Don’t waste your time – keep track of how NFP affects the US dollar and profit!

You are using an older version of your browser.

Update it to the latest version or try another one for a safer, more comfortable and productive trading experience.

Safari Chrome Firefox Opera