Crude oil futures surged on Monday due to disruptions in Russian refining capacity caused by Ukrainian drone strikes and Moscow's decision to cut output to comply with OPEC+ targets. The West Texas Intermediate (WTI) contract for May settled at $81.95 a barrel, up $1.32, while the Brent contract for May settled at $86.57 a barrel, also up $1.32. Russia instructed...
WTI and Brent React To a Key Pivot
2024-02-21 • Updated
Brent oil is currently on a bullish trend, facing resistance near $84 and supported by the 200-day EMA. Breaking above this level could lead to a climb towards $90. Short-term support is observed around $80, backed by the 50-day EMA. As summer approaches and travel increases, crude oil tends to benefit from seasonal patterns. Despite temporary setbacks, buying opportunities are anticipated in a market with declining supply. Traders are also watching for potential economic stimulus from central bank rate cuts, which could lift commodity prices, especially oil. While the oil market is a key indicator of global economic health, its volatility remains a challenge. Overall, there's a bullish sentiment, albeit with lingering challenges.
XBRUSD - D1 Timeframe
Brent (XBRUSD) on the daily timeframe has just been rejected off the rally-base-drop supply zone, which is in alignment with the trendline resistance, and the bearish array of the moving averages, as well as the 100-day moving average resistance. In light of these confluences, I will be expecting a continuation of the bearish movement with a target at the confluence of the 50-day moving average and the trendline support.
Analyst’s Expectations:
Direction: Bearish
Target: $79.13
Invalidation: $83.60
XTIUSD - D1 Timeframe
XTIUSD (USOIL) has recently reacted to the bearish pressure from the rally-base-drop supply zone around the 88% Fibonacci retracement level. In light of this, I perceive that price could slide further down till it reaches the trendline support, before we get to see a possible continuation of the bullish pressure.
Analyst’s Expectations:
Direction: Bearish
Target: $73.83
Invalidation: $79.65
CONCLUSION
The trading of CFDs comes at a risk. Thus, to succeed, you have to manage risks properly. To avoid costly mistakes while you look to trade these opportunities, be sure to do your due diligence and manage your risk appropriately.
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Similar
Bearish scenario: Sales below 80.00 with TP1: 79.60... Anticipated bullish scenario: Intraday purchases above 80.70 with TP: 81.50...
Bearish Scenario: Sales below 78.99 with TP1: 77.93, TP2: 77.45, and upon its breakout TP3: 76.56 and TP4: 75.70 Bullish Scenario: Purchases above 78.00 (wait for a pullback to this area) with TP1: 1679.00 (uncovered POC*), TP2: 79.33, and TP3: 79.66 intraday
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