2019-11-11 • Updated
Trade ideas
BUY 6.9220; TP1 6.9570; TP2 6.9795; SL 6.90
SELL 6.8860; TP 6.8615; SL 6.8940
USD/CNY retraced 78.6% of the 2018-2019 decline. The US dollar strengthened versus the Chinese yuan as the trade deal between the United States and China met unexpected obstacles.
To put it briefly, America increased tariffs on Chinese imports and China decided to retaliate. In addition, China’s industrial production figures and retail sales for April turned out to be worse than expected. This might mean that Beijing may need to roll out more stimulus measures to support its economy. Comments of the US President Donald Trump that trade talks hadn’t collapsed improved the sentiment a bit, but the uncertainty remains. That means that the USD has more bullish potential versus the CNY.
The outlook for USD/CNY will remain bullish as long as it stays above 6.8250 (200-day MA, weekly pivot). On H4, the pair is consolidating within a symmetric triangle. The direction of a break will determine whether the move to the upside continues straight away or we see a correction.
During the Asian session on Wednesday, the USD/CAD pair rebounded after two days of losses, reaching around 1.3590. This uptick is fueled by a stronger US dollar and lower crude oil prices, which put pressure on the Canadian dollar. The decline in Western Texas Intermediate (WTI) oil prices to approximately $80.70 is attributed to...
Gold prices rose on Monday as the US Dollar weakened amidst speculation about potential Federal Reserve rate cuts starting in June. This weakened Dollar was partly due to improved risk sentiment pushing US Treasury yields lower. Despite facing challenges from declining yields, gold prices recovered to nearly $2,170 per troy ounce, driven by the Dollar's weakness. Federal Reserve Chair...
Canadian retail sales showed a slight rebound in February, rising by 0.1% after a 0.3% drop in January. However, this failed to fully offset the steeper decline earlier in the year, suggesting a weakening momentum in consumer spending. The increase in February was driven by gains in sectors such as sporting goods, hobby retailers, and building materials. Despite the...
Jerome H. Powell, the Federal Reserve chair, stated that the central bank can afford to be patient in deciding when to cut interest rates, citing easing inflation and stable economic growth. Powell emphasized the Fed's independence from political influences, particularly relevant as the election season nears. The Fed had raised interest rates to 5.3 ...
Hello again my friends, it’s time for another episode of “What to Trade,” this time, for the month of April. As usual, I present to you some of my most anticipated trade ideas for the month of April, according to my technical analysis style. I therefore encourage you to do your due diligence, as always, and manage your risks appropriately.
Bearish scenario: Sell below 1.0820 / 1.0841... Bullish scenario: Buy above 1.0827...
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Don’t waste your time – keep track of how NFP affects the US dollar and profit!
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