CAD: Signs of Growth May Persist

CAD: Signs of Growth May Persist

2024-03-22 • Updated

Canadian retail sales showed a slight rebound in February, rising by 0.1% after a 0.3% drop in January. However, this failed to fully offset the steeper decline earlier in the year, suggesting a weakening momentum in consumer spending. The increase in February was driven by gains in sectors such as sporting goods, hobby retailers, and building materials. Despite the improvement, ongoing challenges in retail sales growth, coupled with easing price pressures and a cooling job market, may prompt policymakers to consider adopting easier monetary policy in the coming months. However, there is little evidence of a sharp decline in retail activity that would urgently necessitate a rate cut by the Bank of Canada.

AUDCAD - D1 Timeframe

AUDCADDaily-220324.png

After breaking above the previous high on the daily timeframe, we’ve seen the price action on AUDCAD’s charts gradually slip back down to complete a retest of the drop-base-rally demand zone. In order to complete this execution, I have plotted a Fibonacci retracement tool, which shows me that the trendline support, and the moving average supports are all confirmations of my bullish sentiment.

Analyst’s Expectations: 

Direction: Bullish

Target: 0.89154

Invalidation: 0.88040

GBPCAD - D1 Timeframe

 GBPCADDaily-220324.png

The price action on GBPCAD replays a textbook break-and-retest pattern; following the break above the previous high, we’ve seen price retest the demand zone as well as the trendline support - with a little help from the Fibonacci retracement level, and the moving average support. Clearly, the bullish array of the moving averages pretty much confirms a bullish sentiment to be factual.

Analyst’s Expectations: 

Direction: Bullish

Target: 1.72204

Invalidation:1.70146

EURCAD - D1 Timeframe

 EURCADDaily-220324.png

Here again we see the same pattern play out on the daily timeframe of EURCAD; we clearly see the uptrend as indicated by the break above the previous high, with the 50 and 200 period moving averages serving as support areas for the price action at the moment. Combining this with the drop-base-rally demand zone and the Fibonacci retracement levels, I think it’s safe to anticipate bullish price action from that region.

Analyst’s Expectations: 

Direction: Bullish

Target: 1.47286

Invalidation: 1.45723

CONCLUSION

The trading of CFDs comes at a risk. Thus, to succeed, you have to manage risks properly. To avoid costly mistakes while you look to trade these opportunities, be sure to do your due diligence and manage your risk appropriately.

TRY TRADING NOW

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