Tag - trade ideas

The Consumer Prices Index including owner occupiers' housing costs (CPIH) is the most comprehensive measure of inflation in the UK. It extends the Consumer Prices Index (CPI) by including owner occupiers' housing costs (OOH) and Council Tax, both significant household expenses not covered by the CPI.

Let’s take a look at the prospective direction for the US Dollar and a few majors this week. Despite the general sentiment of most analysts being in favor of a continued bullish momentum on the dollar, I have reason to believe that this may not be the case - not yet, at least.

Goldman Sachs expects a strong jobs report for the US labor market in September, with an estimated 200,000 increase in non-farm payrolls…

Welcome to October, the tenth month of 2023. For this installment of What to Trade, I have handpicked a few of my favorite trade ideas for the month. Let’s go over a few of them.

Gold prices are rising for three consecutive days ahead of the Federal Reserve (Fed) interest rate decision, which is expected to remain unchanged due to declining inflation and a positive economic outlook. Investors are keen on the Fed's interest rate guidance, fearing a hawkish stance that could trigger market risk aversion.

Amid concerns of a Chinese economic slowdown, reports of declining investment often overlook China's efficient investment strategy in emerging sectors for long-term growth. China has taken measures to stabilize foreign and private sector investments, like reducing the reserve requirement ratio to boost investor confidence.

The European Central Bank (ECB) has raised interest rates by 25 basis points, marking its tenth consecutive rate hike since July 2022 and bringing the total increase to 450 basis points. The ECB is primarily concerned about high inflation levels, both current and projected, with concerns extending into the future.

The upcoming August inflation data may send mixed signals. The 12-month headline inflation rate is expected to rise to 3.6%, causing concerns for the Biden administration. However, core inflation, which excludes food and energy prices, is projected to decrease to 4.3%, aligning with the Federal Reserve's goals. Past price trends influence both figures, so looking at recent data for a more accurate picture is crucial.

The odds of a final interest rate hike by the US Federal Reserve (Fed) this year have dropped after US job openings hit their lowest levels since early 2021. This has led to a correction in the US Dollar as traders reduced their bets on further rate hikes.

Here we go again, my friends. It’s time to look critically into the future of what trading opportunities September might have in store for us. As always, it is essential to note that the views expressed here are mine and should not be considered financial advice without proper examination.

China has issued new oil product export quotas to allow oil companies to send surplus barrels overseas, particularly Sinopec, which has the highest volume among quota holders. While the exact quota volume remains undisclosed, oil companies are forecasted to export approximately 3.5 million metric tons of clean oil products in September, a 10% increase from August.

Gold prices have experienced four consecutive weeks of decline, with a 3.6% drop in the current month, marking the worst performance since February. Despite this decline, retail traders are showing increased bullish sentiment toward gold. This suggests that some investors see the lower prices as an attractive buying opportunity.