Bearish Scenario: Sales below 5220... Bullish Scenario: Buys above 5225 (if price fails to break below decisively) ...
USD, GBP, JPY: the week of interest rates and monetary reports!
2021-03-16 • Updated
What will move the market this week?
This week may fairly be called a week of monetary policy reports. On Wednesday, Thursday, and Friday, we will have the US Fed, Bank of England, and Bank of Japan provide their interest rates and monetary policy reports respectively. Therefore, it makes sense to expect possible movements in the USD pairs as well as those with the GBP and JPY on the corresponding days.
EUR/USD
After bouncing downwards from below the tactical resistance of 1.20, this pair trades under 50-MA. While the mid-term outlook speaks in favor of the USD, local bearish action is a very likely scenario – especially if the US Fed comes with an upbeat domestic economic outlook. The support of 1.1830 may be the target to watch in this case.
XAU/USD
Gold bounced off the resistance of 1740. Although it trades above the 50-MA, the lower highs formed in the last two weeks in combination with the failure to break the mentioned resistance suggest that bears may drag it down. 1680 is the local support to look at.
USD/JPY
This pair trades at 8-month highs. The resistance of 109.50 left by the June performance is one step away and may be passed if the US Fed’s report supports the USD. On the other hand, hawkish tones from the BOJ may reverse the movement and send USD/JPY back downwards.
GBP/USD
After reaching 1.42, GBP/USD fell to 1.39 where it trades currently. However, that’s still within the larger uptrend. Therefore, bulls may get back to lift the pair to the local highs of 1.40.
Similar
Bearish Scenario: Sell below 39600... Anticipated Bullish Scenario: Intraday buys above 39750... Bullish Scenario after Retracement: Intraday buys above 39150
Bearish scenario: Shorts below 18100 with TP1: 17900... Anticipated bullish scenario: Intraday Longs above 18130 with TP...
Latest news
Jerome H. Powell, the Federal Reserve chair, stated that the central bank can afford to be patient in deciding when to cut interest rates, citing easing inflation and stable economic growth. Powell emphasized the Fed's independence from political influences, particularly relevant as the election season nears. The Fed had raised interest rates to 5.3 ...
Hello again my friends, it’s time for another episode of “What to Trade,” this time, for the month of April. As usual, I present to you some of my most anticipated trade ideas for the month of April, according to my technical analysis style. I therefore encourage you to do your due diligence, as always, and manage your risks appropriately.
Bearish scenario: Sell below 1.0820 / 1.0841... Bullish scenario: Buy above 1.0827...