Bearish Scenario: Sales below 5220... Bullish Scenario: Buys above 5225 (if price fails to break below decisively) ...
S&P: back to the future
2020-05-20 • Updated
Time-check
On May 14, we have suggested the following scenario for the S&P. It was clear at that time that the question was whether the index would cross the lower border of the movement channel straight away or would bounce back upwards for a smaller bullish wave.
Previous projections
Scenario 1: crossing the lower border of the trend downwards in Point A.
Scenario 2; part 1: rising to Point C.
Scenario 2; part 2: bouncing downwards to Point B to go further down or reverse upwards.
Eventually, we are witnessing that the stock market turns to be more light-spirited as the bullish trend that has formed was not a smaller one but big enough to break through the resistance of the upper border of the movement channel. Now, peaking at 2,940, the index is at the upper border of the channel market by the support of 2,775 and the resistance of 2,965.
Fulfilled projection
Scenario 2; part 1: S&P rose to Point C' which corresponds to Point C in the previous projection.
Current projection
Scenario 2; part 2: dropping to Point B' for a bullish reversal or a bearish continuation.
Projection
That proves, first, that the market is not that bearish as it could be, despite all gloomy prophecies and hard data that are out there and are really heavy. Second, taking that “heroism” (or, if you like, inadequacy) of the S&P in the current circumstances, it would be erroneous to expect too much enthusiasm of it. That’s why it appears to us that most probably the next move will be bearish: the index will go down for a temporary retreat from the onslaught it has been in lately. The question is, whether the low which will be reached will be the last station before moving up to break the resistance of the channel at 2,965. The fundamentals will show us – and that we will see at the end of this week.
Similar
Bearish Scenario: Sell below 39600... Anticipated Bullish Scenario: Intraday buys above 39750... Bullish Scenario after Retracement: Intraday buys above 39150
Coinbase (#COIN) saw its revenue rise to $773 million in Q1 2024, marking a 23% increase from the previous quarter and surpassing analyst expectations.
Latest news
Jerome H. Powell, the Federal Reserve chair, stated that the central bank can afford to be patient in deciding when to cut interest rates, citing easing inflation and stable economic growth. Powell emphasized the Fed's independence from political influences, particularly relevant as the election season nears. The Fed had raised interest rates to 5.3 ...
Hello again my friends, it’s time for another episode of “What to Trade,” this time, for the month of April. As usual, I present to you some of my most anticipated trade ideas for the month of April, according to my technical analysis style. I therefore encourage you to do your due diligence, as always, and manage your risks appropriately.
Bearish scenario: Sell below 1.0820 / 1.0841... Bullish scenario: Buy above 1.0827...